MSCI

MSCI Inc.NYSE$565.44-$59.67 (-9.55%)

$565.44

-$59.67 (-9.55%)

7/21/2026, 5:59:28 PM · yahoo

Base (median)Bull (95%)Bear (5%)

Snapshot

Day high$578.76

Day low$548.01

Prev close$625.11

Volume1.3Mavg 675.72K

52w high$644.77

52w low$501.08

Market cap41.12B

CAGR 1y / 3y-2.1% · +4.4%

Trend

SMA 20$595.28

SMA 50$596.73

SMA 200$572.22

EMA 12$606.59

EMA 26$601.49

MACD5.101

ADX (14)16.4

BB Width+18.14%

Momentum

RSI (14)39.0

Stoch %K18.0

Stoch %D60.7

Williams %R-82.0

ROC 10-7.01%

CCI 20-91.2

MFI 1450.4

Volatility

ATR 14$21.914

HV 20d+49.0%

HV 60d+34.5%

HV 252d+31.4%

Risk

VaR 95%-2.87%

VaR 99%-5.54%

CVaR 95%-4.71%

Max DD-43.85%

Sharpe0.61

Sortino0.78

Statistical

Mean ret/day+0.077%

Skew-0.37

Kurtosis8.95

AC lag-1-0.108

AC lag-50.060

Hurst0.43

Fundamentals

Market cap41.12B

P/E (TTM)32.3

Fwd P/E24.6

P/B—

P/S12.69

PEG2.02

EV/EBITDA27.22

ROE—

Debt/Equity—

Profit margin+40.7%

Revenue growth+14.1%

Beta1.24

Five-axis scorecard

Quality · Growth · Valuation · Momentum · Risk

Quality

60% cov

95/ 100

Strong fundamentals

Drivers (3/5)

Profit margin40.7%→ 100
0% → 0, 20%+ → 100. Negatives map to 0.
Operating margin53.7%→ 100
0% → 0, 25%+ → 100.
Return on equity—
0% → 0, 25%+ → 100. Above-cost-of-capital territory.
Current ratio0.86→ 86
<1 stressed, 1.5–3 healthy, >3 idle cash.
Debt / equity—
0 → 100, 2.5+ → 0 (inverted, lower leverage is better).

Growth

100% cov

79/ 100

High growth

Drivers (2/2)

Revenue growth (YoY)14.1%→ 60
−10% → 0, +30%+ → 100.
Earnings growth (YoY)49.1%→ 99
−20% → 0, +50%+ → 100.

Valuation

83% cov

18/ 100

Richly valued — multiple compression risk

Drivers (5/6)

Trailing P/E32.31→ 26
≤10 cheap (100), ≥40 rich (0).
Forward P/E24.60→ 42
≤10 cheap (100), ≥35 rich (0).
PEG2.02→ 24
≤0.5 deeply cheap (100), ≥2.5 priced for perfection (0).
Price / book—
≤1 cheap (100), ≥6 rich (0).
Price / sales12.69→ 0
≤1 cheap (100), ≥10 rich (0).
EV / EBITDA27.22→ 0
≤6 cheap (100), ≥20 rich (0).

Momentum

100% cov

54/ 100

Neutral (54/100)

Drivers (4/4)

Monte Carlo P(up) 30d51.0%→ 51
GBM simulation with calibrated drift/vol. Probability terminal price > today.
ML ensemble P(up) 5d55.7%→ 56
Mean of RandomForest + LogisticRegression on 7 TA features.
Momentum composite-0.30→ 35
RSI · MACD histogram · ROC10 · ADX, averaged then rescaled.
Social sentiment0.51→ 75
StockTwits author tags + StockTwits/X/Yahoo News VADER, averaged.

Risk

100% cov

58/ 100

Moderate risk

Drivers (5/5)

Realized vol (60d)34.5%→ 43
0% → 100, 60%+ → 0 (annualized).
Max drawdown-20.4%→ 66
0% → 100, −60% → 0.
VaR 95% (1d)-2.6%→ 57
0% → 100, −6% → 0 (worse 1-day downside = lower).
Sharpe ratio0.20→ 40
−1 → 0, +2 → 100.
Beta vs market1.24→ 84
Distance from 1 — exactly 1 → 100, |β−1|≥1.5 → 0.

Each sub-score is a transparent weighted mean of normalized inputs (raw values shown below the headline). Mappings are deterministic piecewise functions — expand any card to inspect every driver.

Scoring…

Analyst ratings

Yahoo Finance · 17 analysts

Average rating

1.50Buy

1 = Strong Buy · 5 = Strong Sell

Price target

$704.59+24.6%

Range $570.00 – $760.00

Distribution

Buy 16Hold 1Sell 1

Recent firm actions (215)Show

Date	Firm	Action	From	To
Jul 20	JP Morgan	Maintained	Overweight	Overweight
Jul 17	Jefferies	Initiated	—	Buy
Jul 10	Barclays	Maintained	Overweight	Overweight
Jul 10	B of A Securities	Maintained	Buy	Buy
Jul 8	Raymond James	Maintained	Strong Buy	Strong Buy
May 27	Wells Fargo	Upgrade	Equal-Weight	Overweight
Apr 22	UBS	Maintained	Buy	Buy
Apr 22	Morgan Stanley	Maintained	Overweight	Overweight
Apr 22	Wells Fargo	Maintained	Equal-Weight	Equal-Weight
Apr 22	RBC Capital	Reiterated	Outperform	Outperform
Apr 1	Wells Fargo	Maintained	Equal-Weight	Equal-Weight
Mar 17	Raymond James	Upgrade	Outperform	Strong Buy
Jan 29	Wells Fargo	Maintained	Equal-Weight	Equal-Weight
Jan 29	Evercore ISI Group	Maintained	Outperform	Outperform
Jan 14	Wells Fargo	Maintained	Equal-Weight	Equal-Weight
Oct 29	UBS	Maintained	Buy	Buy
Oct 29	JP Morgan	Maintained	Overweight	Overweight
Oct 29	Wells Fargo	Maintained	Equal-Weight	Equal-Weight
Oct 29	Barclays	Maintained	Overweight	Overweight
Oct 14	Evercore ISI Group	Maintained	Outperform	Outperform
Oct 1	Seaport Global	Initiated	—	Buy
Sep 10	JP Morgan	Maintained	Overweight	Overweight
Jul 23	Wells Fargo	Maintained	Equal-Weight	Equal-Weight
Jul 21	JP Morgan	Maintained	Overweight	Overweight
Jul 8	UBS	Maintained	Buy	Buy
Jul 8	Wells Fargo	Maintained	Equal-Weight	Equal-Weight
Apr 23	Evercore ISI Group	Maintained	Outperform	Outperform
Apr 16	JP Morgan	Maintained	Overweight	Overweight
Apr 16	RBC Capital	Reiterated	Outperform	Outperform
Apr 16	Wells Fargo	Maintained	Equal-Weight	Equal-Weight

Loading analyst ratings…

Growth Score

Coverage 100%

Mixed SignalsLow confidence

Mixed Signals — composite 54/100, no clear directional consensus.

Bias: 54/100
Agreement: 67%
Coverage: 100%
Signals: 4/4

Monte Carlo gives 51.0% probability of finishing above today over 30 days (bullish).
ML ensemble gives 55.7% probability of a positive 5-day return (bullish).
Momentum composite at -0.30 on a -1..+1 scale (bearish).
Social sentiment composite at 0.51 on a -1..+1 scale (bullish).

How is this label derived?

Direction comes from bias (mean of the four normalized signal scores): ≥ 58 reads bullish, ≤ 42 reads bearish, otherwise mixed.

Conviction comes from agreement + coverage: strong = agreement ≥ 75% and coverage ≥ 75%; medium = agreement ≥ 50%; otherwise low.

Bullish + strong → Strong Candidate · Bullish + medium/low → Watchlist Candidate · Bearish + strong → Avoid for Conservative · Bearish + medium/low → High Risk · Mid bias → Mixed Signals.

54/ 100Neutral

Monte Carlo P(up) 30dweight 30%
+51.0%→ 51/100
GBM simulation with calibrated drift/vol. Probability terminal price > today.
ML ensemble P(up) 5dweight 30%
+55.7%→ 56/100
Mean of RandomForest + LogisticRegression on 7 TA features.
Momentum compositeweight 20%
-0.30→ 35/100
RSI · MACD histogram · ROC10 · ADX, averaged then rescaled.
Social sentimentweight 20%
0.51→ 75/100
StockTwits author tags + StockTwits/X/Yahoo News VADER, averaged.

The classification is a deterministic readout of the four directional signals below — not a prediction, not financial advice, and not a recommendation to trade. Each component is normalized to 0–100 and combined by the weights shown.

Computing Growth Score…

Bull / Base / Bear scenarios

Monte Carlo · 10,000 paths

30-day horizon

P(up) +50.9%

Bear (5th pct)

$482.86

-0.1%

Base (median)

$566.59

+0.0%

Bull (95th pct)

$665.54

+0.2%

Expected: $569.53 (+0.0%)From $565.43 today

90-day horizon

P(up) +50.7%

Bear (5th pct)

$431.10

-0.2%

Base (median)

$567.25

+0.0%

Bull (95th pct)

$748.29

+0.3%

Expected: $575.59 (+0.0%)From $565.43 today

180-day horizon

P(up) +51.8%

Bear (5th pct)

$387.38

-0.3%

Base (median)

$571.15

+0.0%

Bull (95th pct)

$843.23

+0.5%

Expected: $588.09 (+0.0%)From $565.43 today

360-day horizon

P(up) +52.9%

Bear (5th pct)

$334.04

-0.4%

Base (median)

$579.03

+0.0%

Bull (95th pct)

$1,014.85

+0.8%

Expected: $615.94 (+0.1%)From $565.43 today

Scenarios are 5/50/95 percentiles of 10,000 GBM simulations calibrated to recent drift and volatility — not forecasts. Drift μ = 0.02%/day · vol σ = 1.80%/day.

Simulating…

ARIMA forecast

30d mean$571.40

90d mean$571.40

180d mean$571.40

360d mean$571.40

360d 95%$297.06 – $1,099.10

AIC-6,274.8

GARCH volatility

1d σ+2.16%

30d σ (ann.)+33.4%

90d σ (ann.)+32.5%

180d σ (ann.)+32.1%

360d σ (ann.)+32.0%

AIC5,260.0

Monte Carlo

P(up) 30d+50.9%

P(up) 90d+50.7%

P(up) 180d+51.8%

P(up) 360d+52.9%

360d median$579.03

360d 5–95$334.04 – $1,014.85

ML probability (5d)

P(up) RF+69.9%

P(up) LR+41.6%

Ensemble+55.7%

Base rate+51.0%

Train n451

Loading forecast…

Recent filings (SEC EDGAR)

10-QQuarterly reportOpen ↗Filed 2026-07-21 · period ending 2026-06-30
8-KMaterial eventOpen ↗Filed 2026-07-21 · period ending 2026-07-21
8-KMaterial eventOpen ↗Filed 2026-04-23 · period ending 2026-04-21
10-QQuarterly reportOpen ↗Filed 2026-04-21 · period ending 2026-03-31
8-KMaterial eventOpen ↗Filed 2026-04-21 · period ending 2026-04-21
8-KMaterial eventOpen ↗Filed 2026-03-31 · period ending 2026-03-27
DEF 14AProxy statementOpen ↗Filed 2026-03-11 · period ending 2026-04-21
10-KAnnual reportOpen ↗Filed 2026-02-06 · period ending 2025-12-31

Loading filings…

Combined sentiment

0.51-1 bear · +1 bull

Mean of available components: StockTwits author tags + VADER, X VADER, and headline VADER for Yahoo News, GDELT, Alpha Vantage, and Finnhub. Updates every 5 minutes.

StockTwits

Messages25

Bullish tags2

Bearish tags0

Author score1.00

VADER0.36

Yahoo News

Messages10

VADER0.58

Finnhub

Messages25

VADER0.09

In the news (25)

Yahoo NewsMT Newswires7/21/2026, 5:40:51 PM
Sector Update: Financial Stocks Rise in Afternoon Trading Financial stocks advanced in Tuesday afternoon trading, with the NYSE Financial Index rising 0.8% an
FinnhubChartMill7/21/2026, 5:05:00 PM
Curious about which S&P500 stocks are generating unusual volume on Tuesday? Find out below.
Yahoo NewsMarketBeat7/21/2026, 5:03:19 PM
MSCI Q2 Earnings Call Highlights MSCI (NYSE:MSCI) reported strong second-quarter 2026 results, with management highlighting accelerating growth in its Index and Private Assets businesses, record asset-based fee run rate and a growing pipeline tied to new products and artificial intelligence initiatives. Chairman and CEO Henry Fern
FinnhubChartMill7/21/2026, 4:35:01 PM
Explore the top gainers and losers within the S&P500 index in today's session.
StockTwitsEarningsInsider7/21/2026, 4:30:55 PM
https://www.marketbeat.com/earnings/reports/2026-7-21-msci-inc-stock/ $MSCI MSCI Earnings Transcript
StockTwitsWhaleTracker_7/21/2026, 4:18:04 PM
$MSCI A rare miss from a company that rarely disappoints. MSCI missed EPS expectations for the first time in more than 40 quarters, breaking one of the longest streaks of consistent earnings performance. The market reaction was immediate: $MSCI -11% Investors are now reassessing growth expectations, margins, and future earnings momentum. One missed quarter doesn’t define a company, but when a high-quality name breaks a long earnings streak, the market usually pays close attention. Watching how $MSCI responds from here.
Yahoo NewsMT Newswires7/21/2026, 3:49:08 PM
Top Midday Stories: 3M Shares Rise on Strong Guidance; Novo Nordisk Sues Eli Lilly Over GLP-1 Advertising All three major US stock indexes were up in late-morning trading Tuesday, as investors focused on so
FinnhubYahoo7/21/2026, 3:49:08 PM
Top Midday Stories: 3M Shares Rise on Strong Guidance; Novo Nordisk Sues Eli Lilly Over GLP-1 Advertising
StockTwitsMinimalistKLine7/21/2026, 3:31:49 PM
$MSCI drops 10% after earnings as valuation takes center stage Despite MSCI being a high-quality, founder-led company, this pullback still doesn’t create enough conviction for me to add aggressively. The issue isn’t weak execution. The business remains strong. The bigger challenge is valuation, as the multiple expanded significantly from 2019 through the Covid era and is now normalizing. I’m keeping a small position while watching closely. MSCI has strong index franchise advantages, but whether it maintains decades of dominance like the S&P 500 remains an open question. Follow the data, not the emotions.
Yahoo NewsGuruFocus.com7/21/2026, 3:00:17 PM
Asker Healthcare Group AB (FRA:I88) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong EBITDA Growth and ... Asker Healthcare Group AB (FRA:I88) reports robust financial growth with a 24% increase in adjusted EBITDA and a strong M&A pipeline, despite challenges in leverage and inventory costs.
FinnhubYahoo7/21/2026, 3:00:17 PM
Asker Healthcare Group AB (FRA:I88) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong EBITDA Growth and ...
FinnhubChartMill7/21/2026, 2:35:01 PM
Gapping S&P500 stocks in Tuesday's session
StockTwitspeloswing7/21/2026, 2:27:34 PM
$MSCI with a huge 11% drop on earnings. Sitting right on trendline support now. Likely to see a technical bounce from here. MSCI is a financial company that creates stock market indexes and then licenses those indexes to ETF issuers. Some examples you might recognize are $EEM $EWY $EWJ etc.
Yahoo NewsZacks7/21/2026, 1:30:05 PM
MSCI (MSCI) Reports Q2 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say Although the revenue and EPS for MSCI (MSCI) give a sense of how its business performed in the quarter ended June 2026, it might be worth considering how some key metrics compare with Wall Street estimates and the year-ago numbers.
FinnhubYahoo7/21/2026, 1:30:05 PM
MSCI (MSCI) Reports Q2 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say
StockTwitsEddieHayes7/21/2026, 1:03:05 PM
$MSCI Q2 PRINT: Record Asset Fees Meets Higher OpEx Revenue jumped +12.2% to $867.0M while Asset-Based Fees surged +26.6% on record ETF AUM. Adjusted EBITDA margin clocked in at an impressive 62.1%. THE NUMBERS: EPS: $4.94 (Est. $4.97) Free Cash Flow: FY26 guidance raised to $1.485B - $1.545B OpEx Guidance: Raised to $1.535B - $1.575B With recurring subscriptions humming, First Street acquired, and AI products expanding, management is playing offense. Is this pull-back a gift or an OpEx trap? Follow my profile for immediate post-earnings entry alerts.
StockTwitsStocktwitsEarnings7/21/2026, 1:00:12 PM
$MSCI Q2 '26 Earnings Results & Recap MSCI updated its full-year 2026 guidance, now projecting operating expenses of $1,535 million to $1,575 million and adjusted EBITDA expenses of $1,340 million to $1,370 million, reflecting recent acquisitions and momentum.
FinnhubSeekingAlpha7/21/2026, 12:59:46 PM
Even After The Sell-Off, MSCI Is Not A Bargain
StockTwitsGetVector7/21/2026, 12:52:40 PM
Vector Intelligence (VI) is an algorithm designed to predict potential outsized intraday moves. VI will select up to 4 stocks per day. Today's VI stocks: $DHR, $MSCI.
StockTwitsTradeMechanics_7/21/2026, 12:43:24 PM
$MSCI One thing that continues to stand out is management's confidence. Even with the stock trading around $560, the company has continued buying back its own shares, with repurchases running at more than $450 million per quarter. That isn't something management typically does if they believe the stock is meaningfully overvalued. The underlying business also continues to look healthy. Recurring revenue remains resilient, margins are strong, and free cash flow continues to support both capital returns and long term growth initiatives. To me, the numbers still tell a constructive story. As long as execution stays consistent and buybacks remain aggressive, it's another reminder that management is putting real capital behind its own outlook.
FinnhubChartMill7/21/2026, 12:35:00 PM
Get insights into the top movers in the S&P500 index of Tuesday's pre-market session.
StockTwitsBlizzzardBullish7/21/2026, 12:34:36 PM
$MSCI good for a starter now?
StockTwitslextrading7/21/2026, 12:27:35 PM
$MSCI Absolutely insane. My fractal captured this violent plunge.
Yahoo NewsZacks7/21/2026, 11:55:01 AM
MSCI (MSCI) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates MSCI (MSCI) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +0.82% and +0.90%, respectively, for the quarter ended June 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
FinnhubYahoo7/21/2026, 11:55:01 AM
MSCI (MSCI) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates

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Not financial advice. All data from public sources and may be delayed or incomplete. Models shown are statistical descriptions of past behavior, not predictions. Provider: yahoo.