NFLX

Netflix, Inc.NasdaqGS$78.25-$4.42 (-5.35%)

$78.25

-$4.42 (-5.35%)

9/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM · yahoo

Snapshot

Day high$82.69

Day low$78.23

Prev close$82.67

Volume39.85Mavg 31.26M

52w high$126.71

52w low$65.08

Market cap325.83B

CAGR 1y / 3y-32.6% · +24.2%

Trend

SMA 20$79.10

SMA 50$75.29

SMA 200$87.04

EMA 12$80.67

EMA 26$78.66

MACD2.003

ADX (14)21.4

BB Width+13.69%

Momentum

RSI (14)63.7

Stoch %K88.6

Stoch %D86.7

Williams %R-11.4

ROC 10+3.16%

CCI 20105.3

MFI 1464.8

Volatility

ATR 14$2.237

HV 20d+32.1%

HV 60d+36.5%

HV 252d+35.5%

Risk

VaR 95%-3.69%

VaR 99%-6.68%

CVaR 95%-5.96%

Max DD-75.95%

Sharpe0.50

Sortino0.62

Statistical

Mean ret/day+0.084%

Skew-1.72

Kurtosis34.46

AC lag-1-0.016

AC lag-5-0.017

Hurst0.52

Fundamentals

Market cap325.83B

P/E (TTM)24.6

Fwd P/E20.5

P/B10.81

P/S6.74

PEG1.53

EV/EBITDA23.89

ROE+49.5%

Debt/Equity55.2

Profit margin+28.2%

Revenue growth+13.4%

Beta1.53

Five-axis scorecard

Quality · Growth · Valuation · Momentum · Risk

Quality

100% cov

80/ 100

Strong fundamentals

Drivers (5/5)

Profit margin28.2%→ 100
0% → 0, 20%+ → 100. Negatives map to 0.
Operating margin33.4%→ 100
0% → 0, 25%+ → 100.
Return on equity49.5%→ 100
0% → 0, 25%+ → 100. Above-cost-of-capital territory.
Current ratio1.14→ 100
<1 stressed, 1.5–3 healthy, >3 idle cash.
Debt / equity55.24→ 0
0 → 100, 2.5+ → 0 (inverted, lower leverage is better).

Growth

100% cov

51/ 100

Slow growth

Drivers (2/2)

Revenue growth (YoY)13.4%→ 59
−10% → 0, +30%+ → 100.
Earnings growth (YoY)11.1%→ 44
−20% → 0, +50%+ → 100.

Valuation

100% cov

32/ 100

Expensive on multiples

Drivers (6/6)

Trailing P/E24.61→ 51
≤10 cheap (100), ≥40 rich (0).
Forward P/E20.48→ 58
≤10 cheap (100), ≥35 rich (0).
PEG1.53→ 49
≤0.5 deeply cheap (100), ≥2.5 priced for perfection (0).
Price / book10.81→ 0
≤1 cheap (100), ≥6 rich (0).

Momentum

20% cov

—/ 100

Insufficient data

Drivers (1/4)

Monte Carlo P(up) 30d—
GBM simulation with calibrated drift/vol. Probability terminal price > today.
ML ensemble P(up) 5d—
Mean of RandomForest + LogisticRegression on 7 TA features.
Momentum composite0.26→ 63
RSI · MACD histogram · ROC10 · ADX, averaged then rescaled.
Social sentiment—
StockTwits author tags + StockTwits/X/Yahoo News VADER, averaged.

Risk

100% cov

42/ 100

High risk

Drivers (5/5)

Realized vol (60d)36.5%→ 39
0% → 100, 60%+ → 0 (annualized).
Max drawdown-49.5%→ 17
0% → 100, −60% → 0.
VaR 95% (1d)-3.3%→ 45
0% → 100, −6% → 0 (worse 1-day downside = lower).
Sharpe ratio0.28→ 43
−1 → 0, +2 → 100.

Each sub-score is a transparent weighted mean of normalized inputs (raw values shown below the headline). Mappings are deterministic piecewise functions — expand any card to inspect every driver.

Scoring…

Analyst ratings

Yahoo Finance · 45 analysts

Average rating

1.76Buy

1 = Strong Buy · 5 = Strong Sell

Price target

$93.66+19.7%

Range $70.00 – $135.00

Distribution

Buy 35Hold 16Sell 0

Recent firm actions (952)Show

Date	Firm	Action	From	To
Aug 25	Wolfe Research	Maintained	Outperform	Outperform
Jul 22	Baird	Maintained	Outperform	Outperform
Jul 17	Goldman Sachs	Maintained	Buy	Buy
Jul 17	Piper Sandler	Maintained	Overweight	Overweight
Jul 17	JP Morgan	Maintained	Overweight	Overweight
Jul 17	Morgan Stanley	Maintained	Overweight	Overweight

Loading analyst ratings…

Growth Score

Coverage 20%

Insufficient DataLow confidence

Not enough signal coverage to classify.

Bias: 50/100
Agreement: 0%
Coverage: 20%
Signals: 1/4

Less than half of the model weight returned data.

How is this label derived?

Direction comes from bias (mean of the four normalized signal scores): ≥ 58 reads bullish, ≤ 42 reads bearish, otherwise mixed.

Conviction comes from agreement + coverage: strong = agreement ≥ 75% and coverage ≥ 75%; medium = agreement ≥ 50%; otherwise low.

Bullish + strong → Strong Candidate · Bullish + medium/low → Watchlist Candidate · Bearish + strong → Avoid for Conservative · Bearish + medium/low → High Risk · Mid bias → Mixed Signals.

—/ 100Insufficient data

Monte Carlo P(up) 30dweight 30%
—n/a
GBM simulation with calibrated drift/vol. Probability terminal price > today.
ML ensemble P(up) 5dweight 30%
—n/a
Mean of RandomForest + LogisticRegression on 7 TA features.
Momentum compositeweight 20%
0.26→ 63/100
RSI · MACD histogram · ROC10 · ADX, averaged then rescaled.
Social sentimentweight 20%
—n/a
StockTwits author tags + StockTwits/X/Yahoo News VADER, averaged.

The classification is a deterministic readout of the four directional signals below — not a prediction, not financial advice, and not a recommendation to trade. Each component is normalized to 0–100 and combined by the weights shown.

Computing Growth Score…

Simulating…

Peer comparison

Direct competitors · same axes as the scorecard

Ticker	Price	1d	52w pos	Mkt cap	P/E	EV/EBITDA	Quality	Growth	Valuation	Risk
NFLXNetflix, Inc.	$78.25	-5.35%	21%	325.83B	24.6	23.9	80	51	32	42
DISThe Walt Disney Company	$105.31	-1.73%	48%	181.84B	21.7	10.9	45	21	64	56
WBDWarner Bros. Discovery, Inc.	$28.25	-0.42%	90%	70.83B	—	12.9	20	0	43	57
PARABanzai International, Inc.	$1.01	-4.72%	0%	3.59M	0.1	-0.5	2	0	100	0

Peer scores use the same deterministic mappings as the headline scorecard. Momentum is omitted here (it needs per-ticker simulation); click a peer to see its full scorecard.

Loading peers…

ARIMA forecast

30d mean—

90d mean—

180d mean—

360d mean—

360d 95%—

AIC—

GARCH volatility

1d σ—

30d σ (ann.)—

90d σ (ann.)—

180d σ (ann.)—

360d σ (ann.)—

AIC—

Monte Carlo

P(up) 30d—

P(up) 90d—

P(up) 180d—

P(up) 360d—

360d median—

360d 5–95—

ML probability (5d)

P(up) RF—

P(up) LR—

Ensemble—

Base rate—

Train n—

Loading forecast…

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Not financial advice. All data from public sources and may be delayed or incomplete. Models shown are statistical descriptions of past behavior, not predictions. Provider: yahoo.